Wednesday 14 December 2011

Play off analysis

Here are the Current Standings in the AFC West:

Team                W         L
Broncos            8          5
Raiders             7          6
Chargers           6          7
Chiefs               5          8

How do we make the Play Offs? Well, obviously at the moment we're top of the Division having won more games, but what decides the winner if the Division ends in a tie? First, you look at head to head record, at the moment we're 1-1 with the Raiders, and 1-1 with the Chargers, so that's a tie. Next you look at Division record. Currently we're 3-2, Raiders are 2-2, and Chargers are 2-3. So Chargers can't beat us on Division record, only tie us if they beat the Raiders and we lose to the Chiefs. Raiders can beat us by beating the Chiefs and Chargers, if we lose to the Chiefs, or if we beat the Chiefs, tie us.

Next it comes down to common games. Currently, we're 1 ahead here, as we beat the Dolphins, and the Raiders lost to them. They have a chance to match this by beating the Lions this week, who beat us, but even if this happens we can get ahead again by beating either the Patriots, or the Bills, who both defeated the Raiders.

Simples right! Errr... ok, never mind. In summary, don't worry about the Math, as long as we beat the Chiefs, a playoff place is very probable!

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